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JAMES EXPLAINS: WHY VENTURE CAPITALISTS ARE RECALIBRATING

7 September, 2023

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VC funding in the region is undergoing a notable deceleration. With the reported year-on-year decline of 28.9% in disclosed VC deals during H1 2023, the industry is experiencing a strategic shift which requires our attention.

The latest findings on the Asia Pacific (APAC) venture capitalist (VC) market by GlobalData shine light on a stark reality: VC funding in the region is undergoing a notable deceleration. With the reported year-on-year decline of 28.9% in disclosed VC deals during H1 2023, the industry is experiencing a strategic shift which requires our attention.

While a superficial reading of these numbers might evoke pessimism, it is pivotal to delve deeper into the context and the larger landscape. To understand the current scenario, one must recognize two critical perspectives:

The AI Arms Race: Despite the general slowdown in funding, it is essential to recognize where the "serious" money is moving. The AI arms race is still in its infancy, but its potential has not gone unnoticed. The belief that we have only scratched the surface of what AI can achieve is drawing significant investment. This accelerated funding in AI juxtaposes the broader slowdown, suggesting that VCs are now prioritizing AI as a core component of the future tech ecosystem.
Economic and Geopolitical Considerations: VCs, by their nature, are not just driven by innovation but by stability and returns. The current macroeconomic climate combined with geopolitical tensions, especially in Europe and the Asia Pacific, undoubtedly creates an atmosphere of caution. Such climates force VCs to recalibrate, sometimes leading to slowed or reduced funding in less certain domains.

Furthering the second point, the investment dynamics indicate that, given the present economic context, VCs are driving harder bargains. This allows them to acquire more substantial ownership stakes for fewer investments. As a result, it's not surprising to see founders, who anticipate a skewed valuation, choosing to wait for more favorable times before seeking capital.

However, one must not become mired in the current. Visionaries should look ahead. The tech world's AI focus is predominantly on "Phase 1 AI tech companies" that concentrate on applications and user interfaces built on preliminary AI platforms. The true paradigm shift is anticipated when we transition to "Phase 2" - where entities construct core technology centered on AI and its architectures. This phase promises breakthroughs that will redefine industries, and that's when we can expect an even more significant influx of investment.

In conclusion, while GlobalData's report points to a sobering slowdown, understanding the nuances suggests that the world of VC is not contracting but simply recalibrating. The arena of AI, with its vast potential, looms large on the horizon, promising both challenges and unprecedented opportunities. The investment game is becoming more strategic, and those who can forecast and align with this changing tide stand to gain the most.

Follow James: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jamescunial/
Follow NEXTGEN Group: https://www.linkedin.com/company/group-nextgen/

 

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